Urban AI: What It Means for Intelligent HVAC

A prominent 'smart cities' expert discusses how artificial intelligence will disrupt all building systems, including HVAC.
Jan. 13, 2026
6 min read

Key Highlights

  • Urban AI moves cities from mere data visibility to predictive and adaptive management, improving infrastructure resilience and efficiency;
  • Blockchain technology is maturing into a stable, scalable infrastructure that supports verified project data, smart contracts, and improves workflows;
  • Digital twins are evolving into real-time operational systems that enable continuous validation, performance optimization, and direct financial integration.

By PAUL DOHERTY, IFMA Fellow, DFC Senior Fellow

Cities are the most complex systems humans have ever built. They are living networks of infrastructure, people, capital, energy, and dataconstantly evolving, often under stress, and always constrained by legacy decisions.

Today, artificial Intelligence is helping to remove those constraints. No longer just a tool that cities use, AI is fast-becoming the intelligence layer that cities run on.

For the past decade, “smart cities and buildings” were focused on digitization: sensors, dashboards, IoT devices, and data lakes. While valuable, these efforts often stopped at visibility. But now, "Urban AI" goes further. It moves from seeing the city and your building to understanding, predicting, and optimizing it

For HVAC professionals, in particular, this provides a striking departure from the status quo. Urban AI systems can:

  • Predict infrastructure failures before they occur;
  • Optimize energy demand in real time across neighborhoods;
  • Optimize and manage de-centralized water and energy systems (like Battery Energy Storage Solutions).

In this way, Urban AI transforms static urban planning into continuous, adaptive decision-making. Cities generate vast amounts of structured and unstructured datafrom building permits and zoning codes to mobility patterns and energy consumption. When unified and modeled intelligently, this data becomes an economic asset. As a result, Urban AI enables cities to function more like platforms: 

  • Infrastructure as a service;
  • Buildings as real-time financial and operational entities;
  • Public services optimized for outcomes, not processes.

This creates new opportunities for public-private collaboration, performance-based financing, and outcome-driven policy design. Urban AI’s greatest impact will be felt in the built environment where design, construction, operations, and finance all converge. Just imagine: 

  • AI-generated urban master plans that balance density, carbon, cost, and livability;
  • Digital twins of entire cities used to stress-test climate resilience;
  • Buildings that continuously optimize HVAC, energy, maintenance, and occupancy;
  • Capital flowing dynamically based on real-time performance, not static forecasts.

What are the mechanisms that are creating the environment for Urban AI to occur and what should HVAC professionals pay attention to? AI, Blockchain, and Digital Twins.

Blockchain

Earlier blockchain efforts failed because they were speculative, consumer-facing, and/or disconnected from real workflows. Those constraints are now gone. 

Instead, in 2026: 

  • Enterprise-grade, permissioned ledgers are stable, scalable, and auditable;
  • Smart contracts can be tied directly to verified project data and milestones;
  • The industry no longer debates “crypto”; it adopts invisible infrastructure that reduces friction. 

With all this in mind, this is the moment blockchain moves from concept to utility —embedded, not marketed. 

Digital Twins

Also gaining utility, digital twins are transitioning from static models to real-time operational systems connected to schedules, sensors, and performance data. 

As a result: 

  • AI and cloud platforms enable continuous validation of progress and risk;
  • Owners want living assets, not archived models;
  • Financial flows can now be tied directly to verified digital states. 

Once a digital twin becomes authoritative, it naturally becomes the trigger for payment, insurance, and optimization.

This is not science fiction. The foundation technologies already exist. What’s missing is integration, governance, and leadership. Urban AI represents a once-in-a-generation opportunity to rethink how cities and buildings are designed, financed, and operated.

The question is no longer if AI will shape our cities and buildingsbut who will design the intelligence that shapes them. 

The author is the Founder and CEO of The Digit Group, Inc. (TDG), a Smart City development company located in Memphis, TN. 

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